8年前，马云在大洋彼岸发表了题为“中国的贸易机会”的公开演讲。演讲中，他谈到了自己对AI的看法，称AI带来的职业洗牌不可避免，因此需要更多地关注下一代教育：“多关注孩子们的教育，机器将会变得更聪明，但是人类永远技高一筹，所以需要教育子女学会创新，因为这样他们才能够生存。”
However, while this result shows that a population of Bayesian agents interacting with chatbots will move no further forward in their beliefs, the experience of an individual agent will differ. That agent will be receiving repeated samples from the distribution p(d|h∗)p(d|h^{*}). By an analysis analogous to that given above for the p(d|true process)p(d|\text{true process}), the agent’s beliefs will become increasingly concentrated on h∗h^{*} as nn increases. Since h∗h^{*} was selected based only on the original piece of evidence d0d_{0}, this creates an illusion of confirmation without getting the agent any closer to the truth. As a result, the agent is likely to become increasingly confident in an incorrect hypotheses about the underlying process.
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2026-03-03 09:00:00
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